No Rate Cuts This Year — Based on Yesterday’s Fed Mins Report

Inflation Sticks Around & No Rate Cuts This Year. The CPI print from yesterday’s inflation report isn’t exactly sunshine and rainbows. Both the overall price increase (0.4%) and the core inflation number (also 0.4% – starting to see a pattern here?) came in higher than the street expected. Core inflation, in particular, has been on …

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Initial claims today show a massive decline and staying low — good for US markets.

Initial claims today show a massive decline and staying low — good for US markets. Initial claims dropped from 222,000 to 211,000 in the week ending April 6th, coming in slightly better than expected. This decline essentially erased the uptick reported for the previous week, and despite some volatility in the weekly readings, the level …

Initial claims today show a massive decline and staying low — good for US markets. Read More »

NFIB Survey Shows Mixed Signals on Job Growth — strongest labor market on record.

The shrinking optimism — The National Federation of Independent Business — Small Business Optimism Index has dipped over the past three months, hitting its lowest point since late 2012. This suggests a generally downbeat outlook. Hiring Plans Cooling — a particularly interesting detail is the recent decline in the survey’s measure of planned hiring. Historically, …

NFIB Survey Shows Mixed Signals on Job Growth — strongest labor market on record. Read More »

Market Conditions and Developments in Europe (Germany and UK)

Investor Report: Market Conditions and Developments in Europe (Germany and UK)

Investor Report: Market Conditions and Developments in Europe (Germany and UK) Introduction:  This comprehensive investor report provides a detailed analysis of the current market conditions and significant developments in Europe, with a focus on Germany and the United Kingdom. Market Outlook and Potential Risks  Investors remained attentive to U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony …

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Euro Area Inflation Eases More Than Expected in May

Euro Area Inflation Eases More Than Expected in May Bottom line:  Inflation in the euro area continued to ease in May, surpassing expectations, according to the flash figures released. The annual headline inflation rate fell to 6.1% in May, down from 7% in April, reaching its lowest level since February 2022. Economists polled by Reuters …

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